Hurricane Rafael Moving West Across the Gulf of Mexico; Threat Remains

Hurricane Rafael, now a Category 2, is moving west across the Gulf of Mexico and faces weakening conditions. A tropical storm warning for the Dry Tortugas has ended. After impacting Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, forecasters caution against life-threatening surf and rip currents. The likelihood of new tropical disturbances forming is low, with the next storm named Sara.

Hurricane Rafael, presently classified as a Category 2 storm, is anticipated to gradually move westward across the Gulf of Mexico over the ensuing days. The storm will encounter harsher conditions than those previously experienced in the Caribbean, including significant wind shear, dry air, and cooler sea temperatures, which may collectively impede its intensity. Experts from the National Hurricane Center predict that by Sunday, as Rafael approaches Mexico, it could revert to a tropical storm status. As of the latest update on Thursday at 7 a.m., the tropical storm warning for the Dry Tortugas has been lifted, and there are no remaining advisories or watches as of now. Meteorologists caution that Rafael poses potential dangers due to “life-threatening” surf conditions and rip currents that are likely to impact the Gulf region. On Wednesday, Rafael made landfall in western Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, severely disrupting the island nation’s fragile electrical infrastructure. In recent months, Cuba has faced destructive storms, including Hurricane Oscar, which struck in October, resulting in fatalities and extensive property damage. Furthermore, the hurricane center has diminished the likelihood of a new tropical system forming north of Puerto Rico and Haiti, now assessing it at a mere 20% chance of evolving into a tropical depression in the next week. The storm naming process indicates that the next name on the list is Sara.

The article addresses Hurricane Rafael’s status and trajectory following its impact on Cuba. It highlights the projected weakening of the hurricane as it progresses over the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center’s insights into storm dynamics and potential hazards associated with Rafael are documented, providing a comprehensive overview of the local climate threats that may ensue. Additionally, it discusses the broader implications of the storm on the region, particularly in terms of safety and preparedness.

In summary, Hurricane Rafael’s westward movement across the Gulf of Mexico is characterized by a likelihood of weakening due to adverse conditions. While the immediate threat level has diminished for the Dry Tortugas, experts continue to stress caution regarding the dangerous surf and rip currents. The storm’s impact on Cuba underscores the challenges faced by the island in recovering from severe weather events. The forthcoming name, Sara, signifies the ongoing possibility of tropical disturbances as meteorologists remain vigilant in monitoring further developments.

Original Source: www.tampabay.com