Impending Changes in U.S. Foreign Policy Under Trump: Insights from Robert Ford

Donald Trump’s re-election is expected to transform U.S. foreign policy, particularly in the Middle East. Robert Ford emphasizes the challenges of achieving peace in ongoing conflicts like those in Gaza and Lebanon and notes the Republican Party’s lack of support for a two-state solution. Ford anticipates that Gulf leaders may influence Trump’s stance on Palestine while suggesting that military aid to Israel will remain a priority. Troop withdrawals from Syria are likely, and a maximum pressure strategy toward Iran is expected to return under Trump.

Donald Trump’s anticipated return to the presidency following the November 5 election is poised to significantly alter U.S. foreign policy, with particular attention on the Middle East amidst ongoing tensions. In an extensive interview, Robert Ford, a seasoned diplomat with considerable experience in the Arab region, articulated his views on the likely implications of Trump’s presidency for peace efforts and conflict resolution, particularly regarding Israel and Palestine. Ford suggested that while Trump has expressed intentions to cease wars, the complexities of the Middle Eastern conflicts make immediate solutions implausible. He highlighted the lack of support for a two-state solution from the Republican Party, diminishing the likelihood that Trump will exert pressure on Israel regarding Palestinian statehood. The current political atmosphere indicates strong Arab unity concerning the ongoing Israeli actions in Gaza, which have resulted in immense civilian casualties. Ford emphasized that regional leaders, particularly from the Gulf, may possess the most influence over Trump regarding Palestinian issues. He noted that Saudi Arabia has been particularly active in promoting international cooperation towards establishing a Palestinian state, a condition whose realization could affect normalization discussions between Israel and Saudi Arabia. On the issue of military assistance to Israel, Ford deemed it improbable that a Trump administration would impose an arms embargo, notwithstanding potential shifts in long-term foreign aid policies. He underscored Trump’s general reluctance towards foreign aid, suggesting a possible gradual reduction in financial assistance to Israel rather than punitive measures. As the conflicts extend into Lebanon and Syria, Ford opined that U.S. involvement might materialize concerning discussions around Lebanon but predicted a continued prioritization of troop withdrawal from Syria, where American forces are mainly focused on counterterrorism objectives. He anticipated a return to a maximum pressure strategy towards Iran under Trump, while also navigating the diverse viewpoints within his administration regarding Middle East and Ukraine policies. Lastly, the dynamics of Trump’s administration may pivot based on loyalty to his agenda, potentially ushering in substantial changes within Washington’s foreign policy infrastructure, aimed at reshaping U.S. diplomatic strategies in the coming years.

The article addresses the potential implications of Donald Trump’s return to the presidency for U.S. foreign policy, particularly in the Middle East. It reflects on the geopolitical landscape post-election, considering conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and the broader Iranian relations. The insights provided by Robert Ford, a former U.S. ambassador with extensive knowledge of the region, serve to contextualize the challenges and expected strategies of the Trump administration as it relates to longstanding conflicts and diplomatic relationships.

In conclusion, the Biden administration’s anticipated foreign policy evolutions signify a critical juncture for U.S. relations in the Middle East. With potential shifts in focus, especially regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and military engagements in Lebanon and Syria, Trump’s administration may prioritize alliances with Gulf leaders while navigating internal and external pressures. The responses to ongoing conflicts will shape U.S. influence and engagement in the region for years to come.

Original Source: www.arabnews.com