NOAA Predicts Above-Average Hurricane Season for 2025

The NOAA predicts an above-average hurricane season for 2025, with 13-19 named storms, including 6-10 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes. Factors include ENSO-neutral conditions, warm ocean temperatures, and the West African Monsoon’s activity. Residents are encouraged to stay informed through news updates and weather apps.

The hurricane season for 2025 is set to officially begin on June 1 and will run through November 30. This time around, NOAA is forecasting an above-average hurricane season within the Atlantic Basin, a prospect that raises concerns among coastal communities. The outlook includes a 30 percent chance of a normal season, a notable 60 percent chance for an above-average season, and a slim 10 percent chance for below-normal activity.

Specific predictions include the development of between 13 and 19 named storms throughout the season. Within that range, NOAA expects 6 to 10 of those storms will reach hurricane status, while 3 to 5 of them could qualify as major hurricanes. Encouragingly, the organization operates with a 70 percent confidence in these estimates, reflecting both thorough research and prevailing conditions.

The reasoning behind this year’s forecasts is linked to several important factors. Notably, the ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions, increased ocean temperatures, lessened wind shear, and an anticipated uptick in activity from the West African Monsoon all contribute to the expected storm activity. The conditions are notably ripe for tropical storm development this season.

Warmer ocean waters paired with weaker trade winds present what many would describe as the optimal breeding ground for potential storms. Such warm waters provide the energy necessary for storms to thrive, while reduced wind shear permits storms to grow and strengthen.

Given that most tropical storm developments in the Atlantic originate off the western coast of Africa, the activity of the West African Monsoon holds considerable weight in storm forecasting. This monsoonal activity is crucial for predicting how many storms may emerge in the broader Atlantic region.

For further updates and more specific forecasts as we move closer to the hurricane season, individuals are encouraged to keep an eye on KTEN News. Additionally, downloading the KTEN weather app can provide real-time updates and alerts pertinent to regional weather changes.

In summary, the 2025 hurricane season is projected to be above average, with NOAA predicting up to 19 named storms, including several hurricanes and potentially major hurricanes. Factors contributing to this outlook include favorable ocean temperatures, wind conditions, and the West African Monsoon’s activity. As always, residents and communities in coastal areas should remain informed and prepared as the season approaches.

Original Source: www.kten.com