Storm Tracker: Potential Development of Tropical Depression in the Caribbean Sea

The National Hurricane Center is tracking two systems in the Atlantic Ocean, with a 50% chance of Invest 95L developing into a tropical depression, likely impacting Central America and southern Mexico with heavy rainfall. Invest 94L shows minimal development potential. No substantial threat is projected for the United States.

In recent advisories from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the likelihood of a tropical depression forming in the Atlantic Ocean has increased. Currently, the NHC is monitoring two systems in the Atlantic, one being Investigative System 95L located in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is linked to a broad area of low pressure, which has resulted in extensive showers and thunderstorms in the region. Forecasters indicate that the system is gradually becoming more organized, particularly to the north of eastern Honduras. It is projected that environmental conditions may support additional development in the near term, with a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm potentially forming before the system makes landfall in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. The NHC assigns a 50 percent probability of tropical depression formation within the next 48 hours. Regardless of the development status, it is expected that there will be locally heavy rainfall across segments of Central America and southern Mexico throughout the weekend. In contrast, the NHC is also tracking another system, referred to as Investigative System 94L, which is characterized as a poorly-defined trough of low pressure. This system is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms that stretch from the northern Leeward Islands into adjacent Atlantic waters. However, the potential for development of this system appears limited due to strong upper-level winds, yielding only a 10 percent chance of formation within the next 48 hours. The next named storms for the Atlantic hurricane season are expected to be Nadine and Oscar.

The monitoring of Atlantic storms is a critical aspect of meteorological science, particularly during hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center plays a pivotal role in tracking weather systems that may develop into tropical depressions or storms. Their advisories provide essential information related to potential impacts on populated areas, including the United States. In this context, Invest 95L and Invest 94L represent two systems currently under scrutiny, with differing forecasts regarding their chances for development and impact. Understanding these systems’ behaviors and potential paths is crucial for timely and effective preparedness measures in affected regions.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center is currently observing two systems in the Atlantic, with Invest 95L showing a notable chance of developing into a tropical depression. Although there is no expectation for severe impacts on the United States, significant rainfall is likely in Central America and southern Mexico. Conversely, Invest 94L is not anticipated to develop further due to adverse conditions. Monitoring these systems remains essential as the hurricane season progresses.

Original Source: www.usatoday.com