Potential Threat of Tropical Storm Usagi to Taiwan

The Central Weather Administration announced that a potential tropical storm, Usagi, may develop in the western Pacific, coinciding with three other existing storms. This historic occurrence of four cyclones in November signals unusual meteorological activity. Changes in weather patterns, including a northeast monsoon, may influence temperatures and rainfall in Taiwan. Current storms include Typhoon Yinxing, and tropical storms Toraji and Manyi, with diverse predicted movements.

The Central Weather Administration (CWA) has reported the presence of four weather systems in the western Pacific, one of which is predicted to develop into a tropical storm named Usagi. This formation would make it the fourth tropical system currently active in the region, coinciding with Typhoon Yinxing and tropical storms Toraji and Manyi. Notably, this occurrence marks the first instance of four tropical cyclones coexisting in November. In historical records, three cyclones were noted concurrently three times in January within the years 1968, 1991, and 1992, whereas four simultaneously appeared in October 1994, without affecting Taiwan. Forecaster Chang Cheng-chuan indicated that if Usagi forms, it is expected to head northwest towards the eastern coast of Luzon Island in the Philippines. The trajectory could redirect towards Taiwan depending on the strength of the Pacific high-pressure system. Meanwhile, the northeast monsoon is expected to lower temperatures to 23°C, with highs in northern Taiwan reaching between 24°C and 25°C, while central and southern areas could experience temperatures near 30°C. In addition to the storm developments, Typhoon Yinxing is anticipated to move toward Vietnam and diminish into a tropical depression in three days. Tropical storm Manyi, located northeast of Guam, is also expected to weaken shortly, while Toraji, situated northeast of the Philippines, is poised to move southwest towards Luzon, bringing about increased chances of rain in Taiwan.

The Central Weather Administration (CWA) of Taiwan has provided valuable insights regarding the potential weather disturbances in the western Pacific. This is particularly significant as the monitoring of tropical storms and typhoons is crucial for disaster preparedness and response. The upcoming formation of Usagi presents a rare meteorological event with four cyclones potentially active at the same time in November. Historical context regarding previous cyclones adds depth to the current situation, underscoring the unusual nature of concurrent cyclones in this region.

In conclusion, the Central Weather Administration’s latest updates highlight the developing tropical storm Usagi, which poses a potential threat to Taiwan alongside existing storms. This situation is unprecedented for November, with historical records reflecting fewer instances of multiple cyclones. As the situation progresses, monitoring the effects of the northeast monsoon and the trajectory of these storms will be essential for the safety of the affected regions.

Original Source: www.taipeitimes.com